2026 Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 4:00 AM · Bryant-Denny Stadium
South Carolina @ Alabama
Predicted scoreLikely
South Carolina
17.2
Alabama
30.3
Alabama win probability: 81%
Margin (Alabama − South Carolina): 13.0 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 47.5 (80% range 27 to 70)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 24 | 0.93% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.91% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.82% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:45 PM | 12.9 | 47.6 | 80% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:53 PM | 13.0 | 47.5 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:54 PM | 13.0 | 47.5 | 81% |