Predicted scoreToss-up
Alabama
26.0
LSU
22.4
LSU win probability: 41%
Margin (LSU − Alabama): -3.6 (80% range -24 to 16)
Total: 48.4 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:16 PM | -3.6 | 48.4 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:16 PM | -3.6 | 48.4 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:56 PM | -3.6 | 48.4 | 41% |