Predicted scoreLikely
Auburn
17.9
Alabama
30.5
Alabama win probability: 79%
Margin (Alabama − Auburn): 12.6 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 48.4 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:58 PM | 12.6 | 48.4 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:04 PM | 12.6 | 48.4 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:26 PM | 12.6 | 48.4 | 79% |