Predicted scoreToss-up
Alabama
28.0
Tennessee
27.0
Tennessee win probability: 47%
Margin (Tennessee − Alabama): -1.0 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:38 PM | -1.0 | 54.9 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:38 PM | -1.0 | 54.9 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:56 PM | -1.0 | 54.9 | 47% |