Predicted scoreLikely
Texas A&M
19.8
Alabama
28.7
Alabama win probability: 72%
Margin (Alabama − Texas A&M): 9.0 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 48.5 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:42 PM | 3.6 | 52.2 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:52 PM | 3.6 | 52.2 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:46 PM | 3.6 | 52.2 | 59% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:59 AM | 3.6 | 52.2 | 59% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:16 PM | 3.7 | 52.2 | 59% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:07 PM | 3.2 | 52.2 | 58% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:43 PM | 3.0 | 48.1 | 57% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:38 PM | 3.5 | 46.6 | 59% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:10 PM | 3.2 | 47.0 | 58% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:21 AM | 3.4 | 47.1 | 59% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:16 PM | 3.5 | 47.1 | 59% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:10 PM | 9.5 | 52.2 | 72% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:50 PM | 11.8 | 51.0 | 77% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:13 PM | 11.3 | 50.8 | 76% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:02 PM | 9.0 | 48.5 | 72% |