Predicted scoreToss-up
Texas A&M
24.3
Alabama
27.9
Alabama win probability: 59%
Margin (Alabama − Texas A&M): 3.6 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:42 PM | 3.6 | 52.2 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:52 PM | 3.6 | 52.2 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:46 PM | 3.6 | 52.2 | 59% |