Predicted scoreLean
Oklahoma
23.2
Tennessee
28.3
Tennessee win probability: 63%
Margin (Tennessee − Oklahoma): 5.1 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Oklahoma 33 – Tennessee 27 (margin error 11.1, total error 8.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.