Predicted scoreConfident
UAB
13.7
Tennessee
40.9
Tennessee win probability: 96%
Margin (Tennessee − UAB): 27.2 (80% range 7 to 49)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: UAB 24 – Tennessee 56 (margin error 4.8, total error 25.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 38 | 0.90% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.89% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.84% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.84% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.