2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Williams-Brice Stadium
Tennessee @ South Carolina
Predicted scoreToss-up
Tennessee
26.7
South Carolina
23.8
South Carolina win probability: 43%
Margin (South Carolina − Tennessee): -2.8 (80% range -23 to 17)
Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 74)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:51 PM | -0.3 | 50.0 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:53 PM | -0.3 | 50.0 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:44 PM | -0.3 | 50.0 | 49% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:57 AM | -0.3 | 50.0 | 49% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:15 PM | -0.2 | 50.1 | 50% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:37 PM | -0.9 | 49.9 | 48% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:53 PM | 3.7 | 51.6 | 59% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:40 PM | -1.3 | 53.1 | 47% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:11 PM | -1.3 | 53.2 | 47% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:20 AM | -0.5 | 53.2 | 49% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:50 PM | -0.5 | 53.2 | 49% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:16 PM | -4.1 | 52.3 | 40% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:49 PM | -3.3 | 53.5 | 42% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:14 PM | -0.9 | 50.2 | 47% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:03 PM | -2.8 | 50.5 | 43% |