2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 11:45 PM · Neyland Stadium
Kennesaw State @ Tennessee
Predicted scoreConfident
Kennesaw State
15.7
Tennessee
38.6
Tennessee win probability: 93%
Margin (Tennessee − Kennesaw State): 23.0 (80% range 3 to 44)
Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.71% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:41 PM | 22.9 | 54.1 | 93% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:46 PM | 22.9 | 54.1 | 93% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:29 PM | 23.0 | 54.3 | 93% |