Predicted scoreToss-up
Tennessee
23.3
Texas A&M
22.7
Texas A&M win probability: 48%
Margin (Texas A&M − Tennessee): -0.6 (80% range -20 to 19)
Total: 46.0 (80% range 24 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.87% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:37 PM | 5.4 | 55.1 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:37 PM | 5.4 | 55.1 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:38 PM | 5.4 | 55.0 | 63% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:11 AM | 5.4 | 55.0 | 63% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:25 PM | 5.4 | 55.0 | 63% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:25 PM | 4.9 | 55.3 | 62% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:52 PM | 8.8 | 52.0 | 71% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:13 PM | 4.6 | 50.7 | 61% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:02 PM | 4.6 | 50.8 | 61% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:16 PM | 4.6 | 50.8 | 61% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:41 PM | 4.6 | 50.8 | 61% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:47 PM | 0.5 | 51.0 | 51% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:04 PM | 1.8 | 48.9 | 55% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:03 PM | 1.1 | 47.3 | 52% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:11 PM | -0.6 | 46.0 | 48% |