2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 11:00 PM · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Tennessee @ Georgia Tech
Predicted scoreLikely
Tennessee
30.3
Georgia Tech
21.6
Georgia Tech win probability: 29%
Margin (Georgia Tech − Tennessee): -8.7 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 51.9 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Tennessee 45 – Georgia Tech 24 (margin error 12.3, total error 17.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:21 PM | -4.9 | 53.3 | 38% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:30 PM | -4.6 | 53.3 | 39% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:41 PM | -4.7 | 53.3 | 38% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:43:59 AM | -4.7 | 53.1 | 38% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:09 PM | -4.7 | 52.8 | 38% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:57:25 PM | -4.9 | 52.7 | 38% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:51:38 PM | -8.7 | 51.9 | 29% |