2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · FirstBank Stadium
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreToss-up
Tennessee
28.7
Vanderbilt
32.3
Vanderbilt win probability: 58%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Tennessee): 3.6 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 61.0 (80% range 37 to 87)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:11 PM | 3.6 | 61.0 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:11 PM | 3.6 | 59.6 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:14 PM | 3.6 | 61.0 | 58% |