2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Kroger Field
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky
Predicted scoreLean
Vanderbilt
29.9
Kentucky
23.6
Kentucky win probability: 34%
Margin (Kentucky − Vanderbilt): -6.3 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 53.4 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:46 PM | -6.3 | 53.4 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:53 PM | -6.3 | 53.4 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:45 PM | -6.3 | 53.4 | 34% |