2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Kroger Field
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky
Predicted scoreLikely
Vanderbilt
20.3
Kentucky
28.4
Kentucky win probability: 70%
Margin (Kentucky − Vanderbilt): 8.1 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 48.6 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.98% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:46 PM | -6.3 | 53.4 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:53 PM | -6.3 | 53.4 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:45 PM | -6.3 | 53.4 | 34% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:58 AM | -6.3 | 53.4 | 34% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:03:58 PM | -6.3 | 53.4 | 34% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:06 PM | -5.7 | 53.4 | 36% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:30 PM | -6.3 | 53.1 | 35% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:39 PM | -3.9 | 49.0 | 40% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:10 PM | -4.0 | 49.1 | 40% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:20 AM | -3.8 | 49.1 | 40% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:51 PM | -3.8 | 49.1 | 40% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:11 PM | 2.2 | 46.9 | 56% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:49 PM | 2.6 | 47.8 | 56% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:13 PM | 5.8 | 48.4 | 65% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:10 PM | 8.1 | 48.6 | 70% |