Predicted scoreLikely
Kentucky
16.9
Oklahoma
26.0
Oklahoma win probability: 73%
Margin (Oklahoma − Kentucky): 9.1 (80% range -10 to 28)
Total: 42.8 (80% range 23 to 65)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.94% |
| 7 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.82% |
| 10 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:34 PM | 9.1 | 42.8 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:38 PM | 9.1 | 42.8 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:55 PM | 9.1 | 42.8 | 73% |