Predicted scoreToss-up
LSU
21.8
Kentucky
21.8
Kentucky win probability: 50%
Margin (Kentucky − LSU): 0.0 (80% range -18 to 18)
Total: 43.5 (80% range 23 to 65)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.90% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:17 PM | 0.0 | 43.5 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:25 PM | 0.0 | 43.5 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:12 PM | 0.0 | 43.5 | 50% |