Predicted scoreLikely
Kentucky
18.8
Texas A&M
31.0
Texas A&M win probability: 78%
Margin (Texas A&M − Kentucky): 12.2 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 49.8 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.86% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:41 PM | 12.3 | 49.2 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:40 PM | 12.2 | 49.3 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:08 PM | 12.2 | 49.8 | 78% |