2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 4:00 AM · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Southern Miss @ Auburn
Predicted scoreConfident
Southern Miss
16.0
Auburn
35.3
Auburn win probability: 90%
Margin (Auburn − Southern Miss): 19.3 (80% range 0 to 39)
Total: 51.4 (80% range 28 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.75% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.72% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:18 PM | 20.3 | 51.4 | 91% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:34 PM | 19.3 | 51.3 | 90% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:50 PM | 19.3 | 51.4 | 90% |