2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 4:00 PM · Lane Stadium
Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech
Predicted scoreLean
Old Dominion
23.8
Virginia Tech
28.2
Virginia Tech win probability: 61%
Margin (Virginia Tech − Old Dominion): 4.4 (80% range -16 to 24)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Old Dominion 21 – Virginia Tech 44 (margin error 18.6, total error 12.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:30 PM | 4.5 | 52.6 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:24 PM | 4.4 | 52.7 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:24 PM | 4.5 | 53.0 | 61% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:43:46 AM | 4.5 | 52.7 | 61% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:00 PM | 4.7 | 53.0 | 61% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:57:45 PM | 4.5 | 52.5 | 61% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:51:59 PM | 4.4 | 52.1 | 61% |