2026 Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026, 4:00 AM · Center Parc Stadium
Old Dominion @ Georgia State
Predicted scoreLikely
Old Dominion
32.4
Georgia State
19.6
Georgia State win probability: 21%
Margin (Georgia State − Old Dominion): -12.7 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:02 PM | -12.7 | 52.0 | 21% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:06 PM | -12.7 | 52.0 | 21% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:45 PM | -12.7 | 52.0 | 21% |