Georgia State

Sun Belt

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Arkansas State	28.7–30.1	53%
Week 9	vs Coastal Carolina	21.6–29.2	69%
Week 10	@ App State	27.6–28.0	51%
Week 11	vs Georgia Southern	28.8–28.2	49%
Week 12	@ Marshall	25.5–29.5	60%
Week 13	vs Louisiana	25.6–25.3	49%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs North Carolina A&T	10–59	—	—
Week 2	@ Kennesaw State	17–31	30.4–23.0	21.5
Week 3	@ UCF	44–30	34.3–18.8	1.5
Week 4	vs Northern Illinois	14–35	24.8–28.0	17.8
Week 5	vs Old Dominion	10–42	26.5–24.7	33.7
Week 7	@ James Madison	49–22	35.4–21.1	12.7