2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Georgia State @ App State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Georgia State
27.0
App State
30.0
App State win probability: 57%
Margin (App State − Georgia State): 2.9 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 57.0 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.59% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.56% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:09 PM | 2.9 | 57.0 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:17 PM | 2.9 | 57.0 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:09 PM | 2.9 | 57.0 | 57% |