Georgia State
Sun Belt
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs UConn | 14–35 | 22.5–33.9 | 9.6 |
| Week 3 | @ Charlotte | 25–41 | 22.7–33.6 | 5.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Coastal Carolina | 17–30 | 28.5–25.5 | 16.0 |
| Week 5 | vs Troy | 28–7 | 23.4–26.5 | 24.1 |
| Week 7 | vs Marshall | 24–41 | 23.5–25.4 | 15.1 |
| Week 8 | @ Louisiana | 17–20 | 28.5–29.3 | 2.2 |
| Week 9 | @ Georgia Southern | 44–27 | 24.6–30.2 | 22.5 |
| Week 10 | vs James Madison | 42–14 | 29.4–27.1 | 25.7 |
| Week 11 | vs App State | 42–14 | 27.6–31.9 | 32.4 |
| Week 12 | @ LSU | 56–14 | 41.6–20.4 | 20.8 |
| Week 13 | @ Old Dominion | 25–24 | 25.7–26.3 | 1.5 |
| Week 1 | @ Utah State | 22–45 | 24.0–27.6 | 19.4 |