2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 10:00 PM · Jerry Richardson Stadium

Georgia State @ Charlotte

Predicted scoreLikely

Georgia State

33.6

Charlotte

22.7

Charlotte win probability: 25%

Margin (Charlotte − Georgia State): -10.8 (80% range -31 to 10)

Total: 56.3 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Georgia State 41 – Charlotte 25 (margin error 5.2, total error 9.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.