2023 Week 12 · Nov 19, 2023, 1:00 AM · Tiger Stadium (LA)
Georgia State @ LSU
Predicted scoreConfident
Georgia State
20.4
LSU
41.6
LSU win probability: 90%
Margin (LSU − Georgia State): 21.2 (80% range 0 to 42)
Total: 62.0 (80% range 37 to 88)
Actual: Georgia State 14 – LSU 56 (margin error 20.8, total error 8.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 45 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 45 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 42 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.