2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 7:30 PM · Center Parc Stadium

James Madison @ Georgia State

Predicted scoreToss-up

James Madison

29.4

Georgia State

27.1

Georgia State win probability: 45%

Margin (Georgia State − James Madison): -2.3 (80% range -24 to 18)

Total: 56.5 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: James Madison 42 – Georgia State 14 (margin error 25.7, total error 0.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.