2023 Week 8 · Oct 22, 2023, 12:00 AM · Cajun Field
Georgia State @ Louisiana
Predicted scoreToss-up
Georgia State
29.3
Louisiana
28.5
Louisiana win probability: 48%
Margin (Louisiana − Georgia State): -0.8 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 57.8 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Georgia State 20 – Louisiana 17 (margin error 2.2, total error 20.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.59% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.