Georgia State
Sun Belt
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Ole Miss | 63–7 | 41.5–13.1 | 27.6 |
| Week 2 | vs Memphis | 38–16 | 32.6–22.4 | 11.8 |
| Week 4 | @ Vanderbilt | 70–21 | 38.4–16.4 | 27.0 |
| Week 6 | vs James Madison | 14–7 | 33.3–20.5 | 5.8 |
| Week 7 | vs App State | 41–20 | 26.7–28.4 | 22.7 |
| Week 8 | @ Georgia Southern | 41–24 | 31.3–26.3 | 12.1 |
| Week 9 | vs South Alabama | 38–31 | 31.3–24.4 | 0.1 |
| Week 11 | @ Coastal Carolina | 40–27 | 24.9–22.5 | 10.6 |
| Week 12 | vs Marshall | 30–18 | 31.1–27.6 | 8.5 |
| Week 13 | @ Troy | 31–19 | 29.0–23.0 | 6.0 |
| Week 14 | @ Old Dominion | 27–10 | 34.9–17.5 | 0.4 |