2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 7:00 PM · S.B. Ballard Stadium

Georgia State @ Old Dominion

Predicted scoreConfident

Georgia State

17.5

Old Dominion

34.9

Old Dominion win probability: 87%

Margin (Old Dominion − Georgia State): 17.4 (80% range -3 to 38)

Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Georgia State 10 – Old Dominion 27 (margin error 0.4, total error 15.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.