2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 9:00 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)

Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina

Predicted scoreToss-up

Georgia State

22.5

Coastal Carolina

24.9

Coastal Carolina win probability: 56%

Margin (Coastal Carolina − Georgia State): 2.4 (80% range -17 to 21)

Total: 47.4 (80% range 26 to 70)

Actual: Georgia State 27 – Coastal Carolina 40 (margin error 10.6, total error 19.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.