2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 7:30 PM · Center Parc Stadium
App State @ Georgia State
Predicted scoreToss-up
App State
26.7
Georgia State
28.4
Georgia State win probability: 54%
Margin (Georgia State − App State): 1.7 (80% range -18 to 22)
Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: App State 41 – Georgia State 20 (margin error 22.7, total error 5.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.