2025 Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025, 7:00 PM · Center Parc Stadium
Marshall @ Georgia State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Marshall
31.1
Georgia State
27.6
Georgia State win probability: 42%
Margin (Georgia State − Marshall): -3.5 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 58.8 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: Marshall 30 – Georgia State 18 (margin error 8.5, total error 10.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.56% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.