Marshall

Sun Belt

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs South Alabama	32.2–26.6	36%
Week 9	@ Old Dominion	26.3–21.9	39%
Week 10	@ Georgia Southern	33.0–23.2	27%
Week 11	vs App State	27.3–26.6	48%
Week 12	vs Georgia State	29.5–25.5	40%
Week 13	@ UL Monroe	22.9–30.1	67%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Penn State	45–0	40.8–15.1	19.3
Week 2	vs Middle Tennessee	26–28	25.4–31.3	3.9
Week 3	@ Missouri State	24–30	26.0–25.8	6.2
Week 4	vs Gardner-Webb	35–36	—	—
Week 5	@ James Madison	45–17	37.5–18.4	8.9
Week 6	vs Coastal Carolina	27–21	23.8–27.3	9.5