2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 11:00 PM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Middle Tennessee @ Marshall
Predicted scoreLikely
Middle Tennessee
24.0
Marshall
34.3
Marshall win probability: 73%
Margin (Marshall − Middle Tennessee): 10.3 (80% range -11 to 31)
Total: 58.4 (80% range 34 to 84)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.61% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:23 PM | 10.3 | 58.2 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:31 PM | 10.3 | 58.2 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:43 PM | 10.3 | 58.4 | 73% |