2026 Week 8 · Oct 20, 2026, 11:30 PM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
South Alabama @ Marshall
Predicted scoreToss-up
South Alabama
27.2
Marshall
30.4
Marshall win probability: 58%
Margin (Marshall − South Alabama): 3.2 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:47 PM | 3.2 | 57.6 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:45 PM | 3.2 | 57.6 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:22 PM | 3.2 | 57.6 | 58% |