Marshall
Sun Belt
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ East Carolina | 13–31 | 27.0–24.2 | 20.8 |
| Week 4 | vs Virginia Tech | 17–24 | 24.5–23.1 | 8.3 |
| Week 5 | vs Old Dominion | 35–41 | 18.7–26.5 | 1.9 |
| Week 6 | @ NC State | 48–41 | 23.5–21.6 | 5.1 |
| Week 7 | @ Georgia State | 41–24 | 25.4–23.5 | 15.1 |
| Week 8 | vs James Madison | 20–9 | 27.3–23.5 | 7.3 |
| Week 9 | @ Coastal Carolina | 34–6 | 24.4–23.8 | 27.4 |
| Week 10 | @ App State | 31–9 | 26.1–25.6 | 21.5 |
| Week 11 | vs Georgia Southern | 33–38 | 22.6–26.7 | 0.9 |
| Week 12 | @ South Alabama | 28–0 | 28.9–19.0 | 18.1 |
| Week 13 | vs Arkansas State | 21–35 | 24.1–30.0 | 8.1 |
| Week 1 | vs UTSA | 35–17 | 23.9–23.0 | 17.0 |