2023 Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023, 7:30 PM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Old Dominion @ Marshall
Predicted scoreLean
Old Dominion
18.7
Marshall
26.5
Marshall win probability: 70%
Margin (Marshall − Old Dominion): 7.9 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 45.2 (80% range 24 to 68)
Actual: Old Dominion 35 – Marshall 41 (margin error 1.9, total error 30.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.72% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12/2026, 9:41:06 PM | 7.9 | 45.2 | 70% |
| 8/13/2026, 3:13:34 PM | 7.9 | 45.2 | 70% |