2023 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2023, 11:00 PM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium

James Madison @ Marshall

Predicted scoreToss-up

James Madison

27.3

Marshall

23.5

Marshall win probability: 41%

Margin (Marshall − James Madison): -3.7 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: James Madison 20 – Marshall 9 (margin error 7.3, total error 21.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.