2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 8:00 PM · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

Marshall @ East Carolina

Predicted scoreToss-up

Marshall

24.2

East Carolina

27.0

East Carolina win probability: 57%

Margin (East Carolina − Marshall): 2.8 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Marshall 31 – East Carolina 13 (margin error 20.8, total error 7.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.