Predicted scoreToss-up
Marshall
25.6
App State
26.1
App State win probability: 51%
Margin (App State − Marshall): 0.5 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Marshall 9 – App State 31 (margin error 21.5, total error 11.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.