2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 10:00 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)

Marshall @ Coastal Carolina

Predicted scoreToss-up

Marshall

23.8

Coastal Carolina

24.4

Coastal Carolina win probability: 51%

Margin (Coastal Carolina − Marshall): 0.6 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 48.3 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Marshall 6 – Coastal Carolina 34 (margin error 27.4, total error 8.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.