Predicted scoreToss-up
Marshall
21.6
NC State
23.5
NC State win probability: 55%
Margin (NC State − Marshall): 1.9 (80% range -17 to 21)
Total: 45.1 (80% range 24 to 68)
Actual: Marshall 41 – NC State 48 (margin error 5.1, total error 43.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.