2023 Week 11 · Nov 12, 2023, 12:00 AM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium

Georgia Southern @ Marshall

Predicted scoreLean

Georgia Southern

22.6

Marshall

26.7

Marshall win probability: 60%

Margin (Marshall − Georgia Southern): 4.1 (80% range -15 to 24)

Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Georgia Southern 33 – Marshall 38 (margin error 0.9, total error 21.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.