2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 11:00 PM · Center Parc Stadium
Marshall @ Georgia State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Marshall
23.5
Georgia State
25.4
Georgia State win probability: 55%
Margin (Georgia State − Marshall): 1.9 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 48.9 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Marshall 24 – Georgia State 41 (margin error 15.1, total error 16.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.