Marshall
Sun Belt
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Georgia | 45–7 | 37.7–14.9 | 15.2 |
| Week 2 | vs Missouri State | 21–20 | 19.5–36.6 | 18.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Middle Tennessee | 28–42 | 25.4–31.4 | 8.0 |
| Week 5 | @ Louisiana | 54–51 | 28.5–25.5 | 0.1 |
| Week 7 | vs Old Dominion | 24–48 | 32.0–22.5 | 33.5 |
| Week 8 | vs Texas State | 37–40 | 34.3–29.3 | 8.1 |
| Week 10 | @ Coastal Carolina | 44–27 | 23.9–26.3 | 19.4 |
| Week 11 | vs James Madison | 35–23 | 32.6–21.4 | 0.8 |
| Week 12 | @ Georgia State | 18–30 | 27.6–31.1 | 8.5 |
| Week 13 | @ App State | 26–24 | 26.9–31.2 | 6.2 |
| Week 14 | vs Georgia Southern | 24–19 | 27.7–32.4 | 9.8 |