2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 6:30 PM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium

Georgia Southern @ Marshall

Predicted scoreLean

Georgia Southern

27.7

Marshall

32.4

Marshall win probability: 61%

Margin (Marshall − Georgia Southern): 4.8 (80% range -16 to 25)

Total: 60.1 (80% range 35 to 86)

Actual: Georgia Southern 24 – Marshall 19 (margin error 9.8, total error 17.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.