2025 Week 10 · Oct 30, 2025, 11:30 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Marshall @ Coastal Carolina
Predicted scoreToss-up
Marshall
26.3
Coastal Carolina
23.9
Coastal Carolina win probability: 44%
Margin (Coastal Carolina − Marshall): -2.4 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Marshall 27 – Coastal Carolina 44 (margin error 19.4, total error 20.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.