2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 5:00 PM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium

James Madison @ Marshall

Predicted scoreLikely

James Madison

32.6

Marshall

21.4

Marshall win probability: 24%

Margin (Marshall − James Madison): -11.2 (80% range -32 to 10)

Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: James Madison 35 – Marshall 23 (margin error 0.8, total error 4.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.