2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 10:00 PM · Hancock Whitney Stadium

Marshall @ South Alabama

Predicted scoreLikely

Marshall

19.0

South Alabama

28.9

South Alabama win probability: 74%

Margin (South Alabama − Marshall): 9.9 (80% range -10 to 30)

Total: 47.9 (80% range 27 to 71)

Actual: Marshall 0 – South Alabama 28 (margin error 18.1, total error 19.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.