Predicted scoreLean
Marshall
30.0
UL Monroe
23.6
UL Monroe win probability: 35%
Margin (UL Monroe − Marshall): -6.4 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:10 PM | -6.4 | 53.6 | 35% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:07 PM | -6.4 | 53.6 | 35% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:17 PM | -6.4 | 53.6 | 35% |