2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Georgia State @ Marshall
Predicted scoreLean
Georgia State
24.7
Marshall
32.7
Marshall win probability: 69%
Margin (Marshall − Georgia State): 8.1 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 57.4 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:48 PM | 8.0 | 57.4 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:51 PM | 8.1 | 57.4 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:34 PM | 8.1 | 57.4 | 69% |